Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
-0.07) 
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