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[monks data]
Blackburn logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bournemouth logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Bournemouth


Elliott (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Billing (29'), Danjuma (75')
Lerma (50'), Solanke (51')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth will be looking to break back into the Championship playoff spots when they travel to Blackburn Rovers on Monday afternoon.

The Cherries made it back-to-back league wins with victory over Middlesbrough on Friday, while Blackburn's poor run continued with a 1-0 loss at bottom side Wycombe Wanderers.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke scores their third goal against Middlesbrough in the Championship on April 2, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth's FA Cup quarter-final defeat to Southampton a fortnight ago leaves them with just one target for the remaining seven weeks: promotion back to the Premier League.

Jonathan Woodgate's men have not been as consistent as they would have liked, but wins over Swansea City and Middlesbrough either side of the Southampton loss has them well placed.

With Barnsley and Reading, the two sides directly above them in the table, playing out a 1-1 draw on Friday, Bournemouth are three points off fifth place with a game in hand.

The Cherries' fate is very much in their own hands, then, and they will be seeking three wins in a row for only the second time this campaign when they travel to Blackburn.

However, having lost just one of their first 10 away league games this season, Bournemouth have now lost four of their last eight on the road.

It is that away form that could come back to haunt them, although Blackburn are winless in their last six home league games - their longest such run since October-December 2004.

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Rovers' form both home and away makes for bad reading, in fact, as they have won just one of their last 13 games, losing eight of those.

The pressure is growing on Tony Mowbray following Friday's defeat to Wycombe, with Fred Onyedinma heading home the only goal of the game early in the second half.

Blackburn were top-six contenders at one stage, but they are now way down in 15th, potentially just four points above the dropzone if sides below them win their games in hand.

Mowbray's men face playoff-chasing Bournemouth and Cardiff City in their next two games, before a run of key fixtures against sides around them in the table.

Should this poor run continue much longer, Blackburn may well find themselves dragged into serious trouble in the final throes of the campaign.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Bournemouth form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Adam Armstrong celebrates scoring against Rotherham United in the Championship on December 16, 2020© Reuters

Blackburn's top scorer Adam Armstrong has been in and out of the side of late due to injury and missed the loss at Wycombe.

Mowbray has hinted that Armstrong may be back for Monday's game, which could lead to a slight reshuffle assuming Harvey Elliott and Sam Gallagher also start.

Joe Rankin-Costello was replaced before half time on good Friday, so Ryan Nyambe is in line to start at right-back.

As for Bournemouth, Jefferson Lerma returned to the starting lineup against Middlesbrough and will retain his place here, likely alongside Jack Wilshere once again.

Lewis Cook, David Brooks, Adam Smith and Junior Stanislas all remain sidelined, but Woodgate has plenty of other options to choose from.

Should the visitors wish to freshen things up, Shane Long and Ben Pearson are contenders to come into the XI.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Nyambe, Lenihan, Harwood-Bellis, Douglas; Rothwell, Trybull; Elliott, Holtby, Gallagher; Armstrong

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Begovic; Smith, Carter-Vickers, Cook, Rico; Wilshere, Lerma; Stanislas, Billing, Danjuma; Solanke


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth have found some momentum in the league with back-to-back wins, albeit either side of a disappointing FA Cup exit, while Blackburn have won just once since January.

The Cherries have not lost a league game on Easter Monday since April 2009, meanwhile, winning four and drawing two, which is a run we can see them extending with victory here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bournemouth

Blackburn Rovers
13.0%
Draw
10.1%
Bournemouth
76.8%
69
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Bournemouth manager Jonathan Woodgate pictured on February 20, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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