MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:03:36| >> :120:28947:28947:
[monks data]
Blackburn logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bournemouth logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Bournemouth


Elliott (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Billing (29'), Danjuma (75')
Lerma (50'), Solanke (51')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth will be looking to break back into the Championship playoff spots when they travel to Blackburn Rovers on Monday afternoon.

The Cherries made it back-to-back league wins with victory over Middlesbrough on Friday, while Blackburn's poor run continued with a 1-0 loss at bottom side Wycombe Wanderers.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke scores their third goal against Middlesbrough in the Championship on April 2, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth's FA Cup quarter-final defeat to Southampton a fortnight ago leaves them with just one target for the remaining seven weeks: promotion back to the Premier League.

Jonathan Woodgate's men have not been as consistent as they would have liked, but wins over Swansea City and Middlesbrough either side of the Southampton loss has them well placed.

With Barnsley and Reading, the two sides directly above them in the table, playing out a 1-1 draw on Friday, Bournemouth are three points off fifth place with a game in hand.

The Cherries' fate is very much in their own hands, then, and they will be seeking three wins in a row for only the second time this campaign when they travel to Blackburn.

However, having lost just one of their first 10 away league games this season, Bournemouth have now lost four of their last eight on the road.

It is that away form that could come back to haunt them, although Blackburn are winless in their last six home league games - their longest such run since October-December 2004.

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Rovers' form both home and away makes for bad reading, in fact, as they have won just one of their last 13 games, losing eight of those.

The pressure is growing on Tony Mowbray following Friday's defeat to Wycombe, with Fred Onyedinma heading home the only goal of the game early in the second half.

Blackburn were top-six contenders at one stage, but they are now way down in 15th, potentially just four points above the dropzone if sides below them win their games in hand.

Mowbray's men face playoff-chasing Bournemouth and Cardiff City in their next two games, before a run of key fixtures against sides around them in the table.

Should this poor run continue much longer, Blackburn may well find themselves dragged into serious trouble in the final throes of the campaign.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Bournemouth form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Adam Armstrong celebrates scoring against Rotherham United in the Championship on December 16, 2020© Reuters

Blackburn's top scorer Adam Armstrong has been in and out of the side of late due to injury and missed the loss at Wycombe.

Mowbray has hinted that Armstrong may be back for Monday's game, which could lead to a slight reshuffle assuming Harvey Elliott and Sam Gallagher also start.

Joe Rankin-Costello was replaced before half time on good Friday, so Ryan Nyambe is in line to start at right-back.

As for Bournemouth, Jefferson Lerma returned to the starting lineup against Middlesbrough and will retain his place here, likely alongside Jack Wilshere once again.

Lewis Cook, David Brooks, Adam Smith and Junior Stanislas all remain sidelined, but Woodgate has plenty of other options to choose from.

Should the visitors wish to freshen things up, Shane Long and Ben Pearson are contenders to come into the XI.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Nyambe, Lenihan, Harwood-Bellis, Douglas; Rothwell, Trybull; Elliott, Holtby, Gallagher; Armstrong

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Begovic; Smith, Carter-Vickers, Cook, Rico; Wilshere, Lerma; Stanislas, Billing, Danjuma; Solanke


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth have found some momentum in the league with back-to-back wins, albeit either side of a disappointing FA Cup exit, while Blackburn have won just once since January.

The Cherries have not lost a league game on Easter Monday since April 2009, meanwhile, winning four and drawing two, which is a run we can see them extending with victory here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:441707:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9904:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bournemouth

Blackburn Rovers
13.0%
Draw
10.1%
Bournemouth
76.8%
69
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Bournemouth manager Jonathan Woodgate pictured on February 20, 2021
Read Next:
Jonathan Woodgate hits out at "absolutely ridiculous" Easter schedule
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!