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Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Freiburg logo

Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg

Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chang-Hoon (57')

Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Borussia Dortmund will be looking to put back-to-back losses behind them when they take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon.

BVB suffered a shock 2-0 loss at Augsburg in the league last weekend and went down 3-2 to Bayern Munich in the DFL-Supercup on Wednesday.

Freiburg are better placed in the table after the first two rounds of fixtures, sitting a point ahead of their opponents after winning one and drawing one so far.


Match preview

Borussia Dortmund head coach Lucien Favre watches on during the Champions League clash with Tottenham Hotspur on February 13, 2019© Reuters

Dortmund did well to recover from two goals down inside the opening 32 minutes of their midweek clash against Bayern, only for Joshua Kimmich to score a late winner.

It is now successive losses for Lucien Favre's men following last week's poor display at Augsburg, with Felix Uduokhai and Daniel Caligiuri netting either side of half time.

BVB may have defeated Borussia Monchengladbach 3-0 on the opening weekend, but they have lost three of their last five league matches stretching back into last season.

That is quite simply not good enough for Dortmund and questions are again being asked of head coach Favre, who really could do with all three points on home soil this weekend.

Dortmund have a very good record in this fixture, going 18 top-flight matches without defeat against Freiburg - their longest unbeaten run against any Bundesliga side.

Freiburg manager Christian Streich pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Indeed, BVB have won 11 of their last 12 league encounters with Saturday's opponents, the only exception being a 2-2 draw in January 2018.

Christian Streich's charges will enter this contest in a positive mood, however, having taken four points from their first two matches this term.

After holding on to beat Stuttgart 3-2 on the opening weekend, Freiburg played out a 1-1 draw at home to Wolfsburg last time out to leave them fifth in the early standings.

Across their 20 Bundesliga seasons, they have only once had more points to their name at this stage, coming last season when making a perfect start.

Freiburg went on to finish eighth last time out and they will be hopeful of achieving something similar this time around, but first they must overcome their Dortmund hoodoo.

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form: WL
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WWLL

Freiburg Bundesliga form: WD
Freiburg form (all competitions): WWD


Team News

Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho pictured on September 26, 2020© Reuters

Jadon Sancho continues to be linked with a move to Manchester United and missed Dortmund's meeting with Bayern due to illness.

The England international has a combined four goals and assists in four games against Freiburg and is expected to be in contention for Saturday's game.

Marco Reus and Julian Brandt started just off Erling Braut Haaland in Sancho's absence and that will likely be the case again here should he miss out, though Giovanni Reyna is also pushing for inclusion.

Elsewhere, Roman Burki was also left out of the squad in midweek and is battling to be fit in time for this weekend's visit of Freiburg.

The visitors handed debuts to a number of players in the draw against Wolfsburg, with Baptiste Santamaria and Ermedin Demirovic among them.

Both of those players are in contention to start at the Westfalenstadion, while further up the field Nils Petersen - on target in back-to-back games - should lead the line.

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Burki; Can, Hummels, Akanji; Meunier, Bellingham, Witsel, Guerreiro; Sancho, Reyna; Haaland

Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Muller; Schmid, Lienhart, Heintz, Gunter; Sallai, Santamaria, Hofler, Grifo; Holer, Petersen


SM words green background

We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Freiburg

Fatigue may well be an issue for Dortmund this weekend as they play their third match in a week, whereas the visitors have had six days' rest between matches.

Freiburg enter this game in better form but they do not tend to come away from the Westfalenstadion with a positive result. That is a run we can see going on with another loss here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg?

Borussia Dortmund
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Draw
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Freiburg
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Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho celebrates scoring against Paderborn on May 31, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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