We said: America Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Undoubtedly boasting the better attacking options, Bragantino can break down America's resistance at some stage, but are also likely to concede themselves.
A low-scoring draw is perhaps the most obvious outcome, then, between two sides mired in Serie A's mid-table logjam.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.