MX23RW : Tuesday, August 6 07:02:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Vargas (13'), Paulinho (45+3')
Battaglia (9'), Hulk (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moura (18')
Zubeldia (16'), Hulk (83')
Franco (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Sao Paulo

While Atletico Mineiro have been the dominant side in this fixture over the last few years, they have struggled for wins this season and their home record is among the worst in the division. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, are a side on the up this season, currently on a four-match league winning streak, and we feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
35.29% (-0.192 -0.19) 26.26% (0.067 0.07) 38.46% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.24100000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)51.35% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.262 -0.26)73.17% (0.264 0.26)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)27.91% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.331 -0.33)63.54% (0.334 0.33)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)26.08% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)61.14% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 35.29%
    Sao Paulo 38.46%
    Draw 26.25%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.46%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Sao Paulo
63.6%
44
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 37
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Hulk (77'), Paulinho (90+4')
Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5')
Luciano (90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Sao Paulo
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (8'), Nestor (45+2'), Diego (62'), David (72'), Maia (80'), Beraldo (90+5')
Hulk (4'), Pavon (69' pen.)
Jemerson (1'), Battaglia (60'), Saravia (62'), Pavon (70'), Mendes (90+1')
Nov 2, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Calleri (40', 45+5')
Vargas (25' pen., 81')
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Sep 26, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0 Olympic medal table header
CountryGold medalSilver MedalBronze MedalT
ChinaChina21181453
United StatesUnited States20302878
AustraliaAustralia1311832
FranceFrance12161846
Great BritainGreat Britain12131742
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo21134435201543
2FlamengoFlamengo20124434201440
3FortalezaFortaleza2011632619739
4PalmeirasPalmeiras21114628171137
5Cruzeiro2011272922735
6Sao Paulo2110562921835
7Bahia219572925432
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR198472220228
9Atletico Mineiro197752828028
10BragantinoBragantino197572423126
11Vasco da GamaVasco2073102231-924
12CriciumaCriciuma196672829-124
13JuventudeJuventude195772125-422
14Gremio1963101722-521
15Vitoria2163122332-921
16InternacionalInternacional165651414021
17Fluminense2055101624-820
18Corinthians214891928-920
19Cuiaba1945101925-617
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2126131735-1812


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