MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:21:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Vargas (13'), Paulinho (45+3')
Battaglia (9'), Hulk (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moura (18')
Zubeldia (16'), Hulk (83')
Franco (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Sao Paulo

While Atletico Mineiro have been the dominant side in this fixture over the last few years, they have struggled for wins this season and their home record is among the worst in the division. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, are a side on the up this season, currently on a four-match league winning streak, and we feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
35.29% (-0.192 -0.19) 26.26% (0.067 0.07) 38.46% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.24100000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)51.35% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.262 -0.26)73.17% (0.264 0.26)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)27.91% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.331 -0.33)63.54% (0.334 0.33)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)26.08% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)61.14% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 35.29%
    Sao Paulo 38.46%
    Draw 26.25%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.46%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Sao Paulo
63.6%
44
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 37
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Hulk (77'), Paulinho (90+4')
Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5')
Luciano (90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Sao Paulo
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (8'), Nestor (45+2'), Diego (62'), David (72'), Maia (80'), Beraldo (90+5')
Hulk (4'), Pavon (69' pen.)
Jemerson (1'), Battaglia (60'), Saravia (62'), Pavon (70'), Mendes (90+1')
Nov 2, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Calleri (40', 45+5')
Vargas (25' pen., 81')
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
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rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro331012114247-542
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR33107163541-637
15Fluminense33107162836-837
16CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
17JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
18BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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