Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Vasco2 - 0Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Botafogo
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Vasco da Gama 1-1 Fortaleza
While Vasco have lost every single away game, they have looked a better team on home soil, and their chances of getting something in this game is increased by Fortaleza's poor away record - considering these factors, we have settled for a score draw in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fortaleza |
38.32% ( -1.18) | 25.64% ( 0.02) | 36.04% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
