Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 0Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 28 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 28 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 7 | 32 |
5 | Athletico Paranaense | 19 | 4 | 31 |
6 | Flamengo | 19 | 8 | 30 |
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 26 |
10 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | Ceara | 19 | 1 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
47% ( -0) | 26.65% ( -0.03) | 26.35% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% ( 0.13) | 56.1% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% ( 0.11) | 77.17% ( -0.11) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( 0.06) | 23.87% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% ( 0.08) | 58.06% ( -0.08) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( 0.1) | 36.76% ( -0.1) |