Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.