Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 21, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia2 - 0Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Fortaleza |
48.35% ( -0.47) | 27.67% ( 0.15) | 23.97% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.25) | 61.16% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( -0.18) | 81.11% ( 0.19) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.33) | 25.47% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.69% ( -0.46) | 60.3% ( 0.46) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( 0.17) | 41.73% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.8% ( 0.15) | 78.2% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 48.35%
Fortaleza 23.97%
Draw 27.66%
| Bahia | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 48.35% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.97% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Fortaleza
Bahia
20.0%Draw
60.0%Fortaleza
20.0%5
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Feb 21, 2021 12am
