Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians1 - 1Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
While the visitors did grab a 2-1 win over this opponent a couple of weeks ago, Timao are a difficult side to beat at the Neo Quimica Arena, where they sport an 11-match unbeaten streak. Neither side will want to be behind heading into the second leg, and we feel they will likely end up settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Fortaleza |
46.02% ( -0.01) | 27.08% ( -0) | 26.9% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.35% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( 0.02) | 57.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( 0.02) | 78.17% ( -0.01) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( 0) | 24.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.5% ( 0.01) | 59.5% ( -0) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( 0.03) | 36.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( 0.03) | 73.76% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Corinthians 46.01%
Fortaleza 26.9%
Draw 27.08%
Corinthians | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.9% |
How you voted: Corinthians vs Fortaleza
Corinthians
28.6%Draw
57.1%Fortaleza
14.3%7
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
2-1
Corinthians
May 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
May 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 21:24:12
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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