MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:30:23| >> :60:780:780:
Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Fortaleza

Corinthians
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Alberto (40')
Verissimo (38'), Moscardo (63'), Augusto (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Welison (22')
Britez (57'), Guilherme (67'), Pacheco (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza

 While the visitors did grab a 2-1 win over this opponent a couple of weeks ago, Timao are a difficult side to beat at the Neo Quimica Arena, where they sport an 11-match unbeaten streak. Neither side will want to be behind heading into the second leg, and we feel they will likely end up settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFortaleza
46.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 27.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.35% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.17% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.025999999999996 0.03)36.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25% (0.026 0.03)73.76% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 46.01%
    Fortaleza 26.9%
    Draw 27.08%
CorinthiansDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.16%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Fortaleza

Corinthians
28.6%
Draw
57.1%
Fortaleza
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
2-1
Corinthians
Martin Lucero (26'), Pikachu (90+4')
Marinho (29')
Pedrinho (33')
Gil (87'), Mendez (90+3')
May 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Aug 21, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
1-0
Corinthians
Moises (65')
Sasha (17')

Ramiro (22'), Giuliano (24'), Pereira (38')
May 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Jussa (53' og.)
Willian (86')

Felipe (58'), de Vargas (79'), Ceballos (86')
Nov 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Cantillo (87')
Guedes (56'), Fagner (65'), Queiroz (90+2')

Felipe (44'), Lima (51'), Robson (59')
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