Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.