Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Arena Conda
Chapecoense1 - 1Sao Paulo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 27.94% | 27.22% | 44.84% |
| Both teams to score 47.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
