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Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Chapecoense

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Chapecoense

Eder (13')
Liziero (66'), Luciano (89'), Vinicius (90+1')
Nestor (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kaio (70')
Ramon (65'), Ravanelli (90+5')

Preview: Sao Paulo vs. Chapecoense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Struggling sides Sao Paulo and Chapecoense face off at Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A on Wednesday evening.

The hosts have taken one point from their first three games this season, which is an identical record to opponents Chapecoense.


Match preview

Sao Paulo coach Hernan Crespo during the match on May 5, 2021© Reuters

Sao Paulo finished fourth in the standings last season, but that seems a long time ago now as they are currently languishing in 17th place.

Hernan Crespo's men drew 0-0 with Fluminense in their opener and have fired blanks in their following two games, losing 2-0 to Atletico Goianiense and 1-0 to Atletico Mineiro.

That three game scoreless streak to begin the campaign will be of particular worry to former striker Crespo, who was only appointed by the Soberano in February.

There was a 9-1 triumph against lower-division side 4 de Julho in the domestic cup during that run, but goals are proving hard to come by in the Brazilian top flight.

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Chapecoense are also struggling to find the back of the net, doing so just once so far in their first three league games of the 2020 campaign.

That goal came courtesy of a consolation Gabriel Busanello strike in a 3-1 loss to Palmeiras a couple of weeks ago.

The Big Green have also lost 3-0 to RB Bragantino and drawn 0-0 with Ceara so far, leaving them 18th in their first season back at this level following a one-year absence.

Jair Ventura's side lost 3-0 to Sao Paulo the last time the two teams met in November 2019, while that year's other fixture finished 4-0 to the Soberano.

Sao Paulo Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • L

Sao Paulo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • D

Chapecoense form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Sao Paulo's Luis Orejuela celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 12, 2021© Reuters

Ezequiel and Joilson remain fitness doubts for Chapecoense, while Alan Santos, Leo Gomes and Mike also missed the stalemate with Ceara.

Anselmo Ramon led the line in that most recent match, but Ventura may decide to change things here by going with Pedro Perotti up top.

As for Sao Paulo, Dani Alves and Martin Benitez are their two main injury doubts.

Robert Arboleda will also play no part as he is away on Copa America duty with Ecuador, so Miranda, Leo and Bruno Alves will continue to operate at the back.

Elsewhere, Antonio Galeano is pushing for a recall after replacing Gabriel Sara an hour into the 1-0 loss at Atletico MG last time out.

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Volpi; Leo, Miranda, Alves; Vinicius, Liziero, Nestor, Reinaldo; Luciano, Pablo, Sara

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Tiepo; Ribeiro, Derlan, Laercio, Busanello; Lima, Ronei, Ribeiro; Fabinho, Perotti, Fernandinho


SM words green background

We say: Sao Paulo 0-0 Chapecoense

Sao Paulo boss Crespo will be worried by his side's slow start to the season, with a lack of goals costing his team so far.

With opponents Chapecoense also struggling in the early stages of the campaign, we can see a goalless draw playing out on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:451368:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8433:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense

Sao Paulo
57.9%
Draw
28.9%
Chapecoense
13.2%
38
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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