Both teams are only narrowly above the relegation line, but the margin is much thinner for Guto Ferreira's men, who have been challenging to break down and compact at home, and we expect their desperation will propel them to three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Ceara
41.75% ( 0.11)	29.33% ( -0.01)	28.91% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 42.53% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.01% (

-0.01)

63.99% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.82% (

-0)

83.17% (

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

0.06)

30.29% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

0.07)

66.46% (

-0.07)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61% (

-0.08)

39% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.28% (

-0.08)

75.72% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 41.75%

Ceara 28.91%

Draw 29.33%

Coritiba	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.75%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.33%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.91%