Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Aug 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Castelao

Ceara
0 - 1
Fortaleza

Paraiba (35'), Lacerda (37'), Mendoza (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moises (17')
Galhardo (37'), Marcelo (37'), Robson (44'), Welison (57')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
51.35% ( -1.03)	26.74% ( 0.35)	21.92% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 43.74% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.36% (

-0.55)

59.64% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.04% (

-0.42)

79.96% (

0.42)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.69)

23.41% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

-1.01)

57.4% (

1.01)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.11% (

0.4)

42.89% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.81% (

0.34)

79.2% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Ceara 51.33%

Fortaleza 21.92%

Draw 26.73%

Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 51.33%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.92%