MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 18:09:50| >> :60:133:133:
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Flamengo
1 - 0
Bahia

De Arrascaeta (54')
Henrique (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Xavier (66'), Iago (87'), de Pena (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Flamengo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia (Flamengo advance 2-0 on aggregate)

 From a psychological standpoint, Flamengo have a decisive edge, advancing beyond this phase of the tournament many times, which is not the case for Bahia. Even with all the injuries at Mengao, having the belief they currently boast can prove invaluable in their quest to lift another major trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
63.55% (0.394 0.39) 20.86% (-0.274 -0.27) 15.59% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.03% (0.6 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (0.946 0.95)45.65% (-0.945 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (0.893 0.89)67.97% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (0.422 0.42)13.7% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (0.829 0.83)40.93% (-0.827 -0.83)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97% (0.415 0.41)42.03% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54% (0.358 0.36)78.46% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 63.54%
    Bahia 15.59%
    Draw 20.86%
FlamengoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.08 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 63.54%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Bahia

Flamengo
86.7%
Draw
8.9%
Bahia
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bahia
0-1
Flamengo
Henrique (50')
Arias (86')
Jun 21, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Flamengo
2-1
Bahia
Gerson (23'), Luiz (90+4')
Ortiz (34')
Stum (35')
Lucas (69')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-3
Flamengo
Teixeira (35'), Ademir (51')
Hugo (26'), Rezende (39'), Duarte (47'), Ademir (55'), Yago (60'), Kanu (74')
Rezende (74'), Kanu (77')
Franca (23'), Barbosa (29' pen.), Luiz (45+4')
Vidal (51'), Bruno (62'), Pereira (87'), Lucas (90+4'), De Arrascaeta (90+3')
Nov 11, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Flamengo
3-0
Bahia
Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')
> Preview
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