Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Marinho (28', 37'), Pochettino (80'), Kayzer (89')
Rossetto (18'), Martin Lucero (41')
Welison (84')
Rossetto (18'), Martin Lucero (41')
Welison (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Bahia |
48.83% ( -0.26) | 26.42% ( 0.1) | 24.75% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( -0.25) | 56.34% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( -0.2) | 77.36% ( 0.2) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.22) | 23.12% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.33) | 56.98% ( 0.33) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.01) | 38.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.01) | 75.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 48.83%
Bahia 24.75%
Draw 26.41%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.75% |
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Form Guide
