Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Criciuma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 22 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 22 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Criciuma
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Criciuma |
66.42% ( 0.08) | 20.36% ( -0.02) | 13.21% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.05) | 48.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.04) | 70.51% ( 0.05) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% ( 0.01) | 13.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.1% ( 0.02) | 40.9% ( -0.02) |
| Criciuma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.12) | 47.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.4% ( -0.09) | 82.6% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 66.42%
Criciuma 13.21%
Draw 20.36%
| Bahia | Draw | Criciuma |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 13.21% |
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Criciuma
2-2
Bahia
Hermes (34'), Arthur (46')
Figueiredo (30'), Gustavo Almeida Pinto (57'), Thaciano (88')
Gustavo Almeida Pinto (63')
Figueiredo (30'), Gustavo Almeida Pinto (57'), Thaciano (88')
Gustavo Almeida Pinto (63')
Apr 30, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Bahia 
B
vs.
C
