MX23RW : Friday, June 28 15:23:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 21, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Flamengo
2 - 1
Bahia

Gerson (23'), Luiz (90+4')
Ortiz (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stum (35')
Lucas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Bahia

This is shaping up to be a tricky encounter based on current form. However, despite their good spell, Bahia have not managed to win more than once away from home. Flamengo, on the other hand, have shown some vulnerability at home this season. For these reasons, we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
64.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 14.83% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)67.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)79.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 64.69%
    Bahia 14.83%
    Draw 20.47%
FlamengoDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.83%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Bahia

Flamengo
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Bahia
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-3
Flamengo
Teixeira (35'), Ademir (51')
Hugo (26'), Rezende (39'), Duarte (47'), Ademir (55'), Yago (60'), Kanu (74')
Rezende (74'), Kanu (77')
Franca (23'), Barbosa (29' pen.), Luiz (45+4')
Vidal (51'), Bruno (62'), Pereira (87'), Lucas (90+4'), De Arrascaeta (90+3')
Nov 11, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Flamengo
3-0
Bahia
Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')
Jul 18, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 12
Bahia
0-5
Flamengo

Bahia (29'), Gilberto (54'), Capixaba (55'), Galdezani (60'), Edson (81')
Barbosa (23' pen., 41', 62'), Pedro (74'), Vitinho (84')
Diego (47')
Dec 20, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 26
Flamengo
4-3
Bahia
Henrique (5'), Isla (33'), Pedro (82'), Vitinho (90')
Luis (71'), Natan (87')
Barbosa (10')
Pablo Ramirez (50'), Gilberto (56', 59')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!