Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia2 - 3Flamengo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 3-0 Bahia
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Goias
Thursday, May 11 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, May 11 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
38.09% ( 0.13) | 25.54% ( -0.03) | 36.37% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( 0.11) | 48.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.11) | 70.3% ( -0.11) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.12) | 24.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.61% ( 0.17) | 59.39% ( -0.18) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.3% ( -0.01) | 60.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 38.09%
Flamengo 36.37%
Draw 25.54%
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.37% |
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 9.15pm
gameweek 26
Flamengo
4-3
Bahia
Pablo Ramirez (50'), Gilberto (56', 59')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 7
Bahia
3-5
Flamengo
