Flamengo2 - 0Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Flamengo 3-1 Fortaleza
Fortaleza will travel with confidence on the back of their consecutive league wins, but the hosts do boast more quality in their ranks, and we see Sampaoli's men being too strong on home turf, particularly in attack, and taking all three points as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Fortaleza |
67.67% ( -0.03) | 19.98% ( 0.01) | 12.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.03) | 48.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.03) | 70.8% ( 0.03) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( -0.02) | 13.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.03) | 40.35% ( 0.03) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.25% ( -0) | 48.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.22% ( -0) | 83.77% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 67.66% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.98% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 12.35% |
