Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 24, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Pochettino (54'), Tinga (62')
Titi (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kardec (87')
Fuchs (61')
Saravia (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

This will likely be a cagey match between two teams who have made a strong start to the season, but Fortaleza will head in as the favourites due to their performances overall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
41.08% ( -0.28)	27.31% ( 0.08)	31.61% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

-0.25)

56.24% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

-0.2)

77.28% (

0.2)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

-0.27)

26.92% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

-0.35)

62.24% (

0.35)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23% (

0.01)

32.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.67% (

0.01)

69.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 41.08%

Atletico Mineiro 31.61%

Draw 27.3%

Fortaleza	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.08%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.61%