Internacional2 - 1Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Internacional 3-1 Vasco da Gama
Given that Vasco da Gama have failed to win since the opening weekend of the Brasileirao season, we expect the visitors to suffer a fifth successive loss on Sunday, with Internacional inflicting another heavy defeat on the basement dwellers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.74% ( -0.09) | 22.72% ( 0.05) | 16.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
