MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:04:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 6, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo

Vasco
1 - 4
Flamengo

Jair (58' pen.)
Teixeira (45'), Capasso (67')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Pulgar (14'), Gerson (16'), Pedro (42'), Lucas (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Vasco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fluminense
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Vasco da Gama 1-2 Flamengo

 Given the rivalry that these two have built up, this match should be full of intensity and drama, knowing what this means to both fan bases. We expect Vasco to have an early edge seeing as Flamengo have only had a few days to rest in between games, but Urubu are rarely phased when incurring a setback, and they should be able to take control of this encounter and eventually find those openings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
32.74% (0.95 0.95) 26.72% (0.143 0.14) 40.54% (-1.096 -1.1)
Both teams to score 51.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)53.65% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (-0.273 -0.27)75.15% (0.27 0.27)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (0.48 0.48)30.67% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (0.563 0.56)66.92% (-0.566 -0.57)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)26.01% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)61.04% (0.98099999999999 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 32.74%
    Flamengo 40.54%
    Draw 26.71%
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: Vasco vs Flamengo

Vasco da Gama
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
Flamengo
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 12am
gameweek 34
Flamengo
2-0
Vasco
Barbosa (45+3' pen.), Henrique (77')
Oct 10, 2020 9pm
gameweek 15
Vasco
1-2
Flamengo
Magno (9')
Tenorio (1'), Magno (53')
Pereira (48'), Henrique (71')
Diego (11'), Maia (61'), Henrique (73'), Pereira (89'), Vitinho (90+1')
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 34
Flamengo
4-4
Vasco
Ribeiro (1'), Barcelos (45' og.), Henrique (65', 81')
Barbosa (30'), Arao (43'), Rafinha (45'), Luis (74'), Gerson (76'), Henrique (81')
Marrony (34'), Pikachu (38' pen.), Junior (52'), Ribamar (93')
Richard (27'), Rossi (41'), Raul (60'), Marrony (64'), Pikachu (78')
Aug 17, 2019 11pm
gameweek 15
Vasco
1-4
Flamengo
Castan (58')
Henrique (42'), Barbosa (51', 62'), De Arrascaeta (83' pen.)
de Arrascaeta (80'), Rodinei (91'), Piris da Motta (95')
Sep 15, 2018 11pm
gameweek 25
Vasco
1-1
Flamengo
Rios (28')
Maranhao (58'), Fabricio (58'), Lopez (100')
Gustavo (62' og.)
Vitinho (58'), Diego (58')
Diego (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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