Palmeiras

3 - 1

Juventude

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.