Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras1 - 0Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 0-4 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 20 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 20 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.13% ( 0.2) | 21.94% ( -0.22) | 17.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0.96) | 46.23% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( 0.9) | 68.52% ( -0.9) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.39) | 14.95% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.64% ( 0.73) | 43.36% ( -0.73) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.59) | 39.47% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.54) | 76.16% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 60.12%
Vasco da Gama 17.93%
Draw 21.94%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.93% |
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Jan 26, 2021 11pm
Form Guide
