Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Atletico Mineiro0 - 1Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 30 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 30 at 1am in Brasileiro
We said: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro have been very poor in front of goal in recent weeks, and they have not won in all competitions since the beginning of June, so we cannot see them picking up a positive result on Wednesday evening. Palmeiras have won their last two Brasileiro games, and they are considerably higher than their opponents in the table, so we expect them to record a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Palmeiras |
43.68% ( -0.06) | 27.42% ( 0.05) | 28.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
