MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:12:54| >> :60:479:479:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Arana (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (29')
Menino (62'), Jhon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro have been very poor in front of goal in recent weeks, and they have not won in all competitions since the beginning of June, so we cannot see them picking up a positive result on Wednesday evening. Palmeiras have won their last two Brasileiro games, and they are considerably higher than their opponents in the table, so we expect them to record a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
43.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 27.42% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 28.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (-0.17 -0.17)57.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.136 -0.14)78.36% (0.134 0.13)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.11 -0.11)26.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)61.25% (0.144 0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.49% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)72.26% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.68%
    Palmeiras 28.9%
    Draw 27.41%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Palmeiras
88.9%
9
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Pavon (45')
Silva (24'), Pavon (40'), Coudet (44'), Zaracho (44')
Dudu (52')
Menino (15'), Veiga (45+2'), Vanderlan (90+6')
Sep 29, 2022 1.45am
Aug 11, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties
Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')
Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Menino (37')
Mariano (33'), Fernandez (37'), Otavio (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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