Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 29, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Vasco 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
49.65% ( -0.08) | 26.68% ( 0.44) | 23.67% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 45.73% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
