Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos2 - 3Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Flamengo
Friday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
We said: Santos 0-1 Flamengo
For all their woes, Santos have kept clean sheets in half their league fixtures at home this season. However, without their fans behind them at Vila Belmiro - and with an interim coach in charge - they are susceptible to defeat by a Flamengo side fired up after an embarrassing setback in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Flamengo |
31.59% ( -0.36) | 27.65% ( -0.15) | 40.76% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.46) | 57.52% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.36) | 78.31% ( -0.36) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.01) | 33.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.01) | 70.08% ( 0.02) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0.5) | 27.7% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.75% ( 0.64) | 63.25% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 31.58%
Flamengo 40.76%
Draw 27.64%
| Santos | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.58% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.76% |
How you voted: Santos vs Flamengo
Santos
9.5%Draw
14.3%Flamengo
76.2%21
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
3-2
Santos
Dec 6, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 37
Flamengo
0-1
Santos
Form Guide
