MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:19:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Flamengo

Santos
2 - 3
Flamengo

Mendoza (40'), Fernandez (52')
Pires (39'), Dias (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Everton (22'), Ribeiro (50'), Pulgar (57')
Pulgar (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Santos 0-1 Flamengo

For all their woes, Santos have kept clean sheets in half their league fixtures at home this season. However, without their fans behind them at Vila Belmiro - and with an interim coach in charge - they are susceptible to defeat by a Flamengo side fired up after an embarrassing setback in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawFlamengo
31.59% (-0.355 -0.36) 27.65% (-0.148 -0.15) 40.76% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 48.12% (0.324 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48% (0.458 0.46)57.52% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (0.364 0.36)78.31% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)70.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.501 0.5)27.7% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.638 0.64)63.25% (-0.637 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Santos 31.58%
    Flamengo 40.76%
    Draw 27.64%
SantosDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.58%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.76%

How you voted: Santos vs Flamengo

Santos
9.5%
Draw
14.3%
Flamengo
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
3-2
Santos
Pedro (45+5'), Marinho (79'), De Arrascaeta (87')
Alex (53'), Carabajal (90+7')
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
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Santos
1-2
Flamengo
Zanocelo (66')
Jonatan (24'), Gabriel (43'), Camacho (55'), Zanocelo (70')
Pedro (18'), Barbosa (73')
Maia (63'), Barbosa (70')
Dec 6, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 37
Flamengo
0-1
Santos

Pedro (31'), Matheuzinho (36'), Rodinei (72')
Leonardo (57')
Leonardo (60'), Fernandes (65'), Raniel (90+2')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 18
Santos
0-4
Flamengo

Sanchez (5'), Alves Reis (33'), Diniz (63'), Jonatan (76'), Mota (77')
Barbosa (52' pen., 71', 80'), Pereira (84')
Isla (7'), Diego (30'), Viana (37'), Henrique (55')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
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Flamengo
4-1
Santos
Gerson (42'), Barbosa (50' pen., 71' pen.), Luis (58')
Gomes (74'), Luis (81')
Bruninho (75')
Leonardo (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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