Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.