Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Flamengo

Luciano (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pablo (15'), Hugo (65'), Rodrigues de Souza (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, December 3 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Flamengo
39.38% ( 0.03)	26.02% ( 0.09)	34.6% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.96% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0.43)

50.43% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.38)

72.36% (

0.38)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.18)

25.16% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

-0.25)

59.88% (

0.24)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

-0.29)

27.89% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.37)

63.5% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 39.38%

Flamengo 34.6%

Draw 26.02%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.38%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.6%