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Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 11, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Palmeiras

Luan (54')
Alves (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Paula (74')
Renan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-0 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
27.24%28.96%43.8%
Both teams to score 42.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.54%63.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.2%82.8%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91%40.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26%76.74%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24%64.76%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 27.23%
    Palmeiras 43.79%
    Draw 28.95%
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 27.23%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.95%
0-1 @ 14.38%
0-2 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-3 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.15%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 43.79%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
64.9%
Draw
16.2%
Palmeiras
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Sao Paulo
0-0
Palmeiras
Sara (63'), Nestor (79'), (90+4')
(90+5')
Lopes (77'), Melo (78'), Danilo (81')
Feb 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Sao Paulo
1-1
Palmeiras
Luciano (74' pen.)
Rony (90+3')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
0-2
Sao Paulo

Esteves Souza (48'), de Paula (86')
Reinaldo (54' pen.), Bueno (90+3')
Vinicius (47')
Oct 30, 2019 10.30pm
Gameweek 29
Palmeiras
3-0
Sao Paulo
Henrique (12'), Melo (42'), Scarpa (57')
Jul 13, 2019 11pm
Sao Paulo
1-1
Palmeiras
Pablo (10')
Arboleda (37'), Hudson (45'), Raniel (93')
Dudu (71')
Rafael (22'), Antonio (44'), Carlos (55')
rhs 2.0
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