Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.