Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
