Vasco

1 - 2

Corinthians

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.