We said: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin
The loss of Kruse is certainly a blow to Union, but they should retain a strong self-belief after their upward trajectory in recent seasons. Therefore, we are backing them to earn a win against a home side struggling for results in 2022, albeit by a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
