Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 15, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
0 - 0
Freiburg

Becker (77')

Hofler (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Freiburg

Despite their respective setbacks at the weekend, both teams will feel confident about bouncing back with a win. Nevertheless, a second successive defeat would damage their hopes of European qualification, leading us to think that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
38.61%	25.96%	35.43%

Both teams to score 54.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92%

50.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95%

72.05%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58%

25.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77%

60.23%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78%

27.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36%

62.64%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 38.61%

Freiburg 35.43%

Draw 25.96%

Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.61%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.43%