Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg

Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gregoritsch (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Upwardly mobile Hoffenheim were in fine form before the break, and there seems no reason why they cannot continue where they left off last year. A greater range of attacking options allied to home advantage makes them strong favourites to return to Bundesliga action with a win - keeping them in the wide-open hunt for a top four place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
57.13%	22.31%	20.56%

Both teams to score 54.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56%

44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62%

66.38%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83%

15.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.22%

43.78%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66%

35.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9%

72.1%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 57.13%

Augsburg 20.56%

Draw 22.3%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.13%	1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.56%