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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
62.27% | 19.9% | 17.83% |
Both teams to score 58.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.87% | 37.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.67% | 59.33% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% | 11.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.74% | 36.25% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.13% 3-0 @ 6.64% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.38% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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