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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
65.21% | 19.85% | 14.94% |
Both teams to score 51.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% | 42.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% | 64.9% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% | 12.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.04% | 37.96% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.02% | 40.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% | 77.53% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.45% Total : 65.2% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 0-0 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.85% | 0-1 @ 4.48% 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |