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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
65.57% | 19.41% | 15.02% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.71% | 40.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.34% | 62.66% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% | 11.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% | 36.37% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-1 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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