Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Sep 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sadio Mane ends drought as Bayern Munich return to winning ways

Jamal Musiala stars and Sadio Mane ends his drought as Bayern Munich return to winning ways with a 4-0 victory over Bayer Leverkusen.

Sep 30, 21:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Bayern
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

We expect the international break to have helped Bayern settle down and return to winning ways against Leverkusen on Friday. The visitors undoubtedly have the offensive tools to hurt the Bavarians in transition, but they are lacking confidence themselves at present and do not generally deal with any setbacks or periods of sustained pressure very well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
72.2% ( 0.06)	15.83% ( -0.03)	11.97% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.24% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.86% (

0.06)

30.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.64% (

0.07)

51.36% (

-0.08)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.71% (

0.03)

7.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.61% (

0.07)

26.39% (

-0.07)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82% (

-0)

37.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-0)

73.97%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 72.2%

Bayer Leverkusen 11.97%

Draw 15.83%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 72.2%	1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.83%	1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.97%