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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
4 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Bayern
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

 We expect the international break to have helped Bayern settle down and return to winning ways against Leverkusen on Friday. The visitors undoubtedly have the offensive tools to hurt the Bavarians in transition, but they are lacking confidence themselves at present and do not generally deal with any setbacks or periods of sustained pressure very well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
72.2% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 15.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 11.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.86% (0.061000000000007 0.06)30.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.64% (0.073999999999998 0.07)51.36% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.025999999999996 0.03)7.29% (-0.0291 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)26.39% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)37.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.97%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 72.2%
    Bayer Leverkusen 11.97%
    Draw 15.83%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 72.2%
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.83%
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
85.4%
Draw
8.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
6.3%
239
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Sule (18')
Coman (72')
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-5
Bayern
Schick (55')
Lewandowski (4', 30'), Muller (34'), Gnabry (35', 37')
Apr 20, 2021 7.30pm
Bayern
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Maxim Choupo-Moting (7'), Kimmich (13')
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Bayern
Schick (14')
Bailey (72')
Lewandowski (43', 90+3')
Gnabry (24')
Jul 4, 2020 7pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Bayern
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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