MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:15:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
56.81% (3.416 3.42) 22.53% (-0.919 -0.92) 20.66% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (1.064 1.06)44.84% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (1.017 1.02)67.2% (-1.02 -1.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (1.57 1.57)15.57% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (2.845 2.85)44.52% (-2.848 -2.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-1.766 -1.77)35.72% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-1.861 -1.86)72.49% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%
    Freiburg 20.66%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.426 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
55.4%
Draw
17.9%
Freiburg
26.8%
56
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!