Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	-5	1
17	VfL Bochum	2	-2	0
18	Bayer Leverkusen	2	-2	0

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Freiburg	2	2	3
8	Hoffenheim	2	-1	3
9	Augsburg	2	-3	3

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Hoffenheim

Goals feel like an absolute given in this game, with both teams generally more comfortable attacking than defending. As such, predicting a result seems tricky, but Leverkusen's losing run surely has to come to an end sooner or later and we can see them picking up a vital victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
59.16% ( -0.4)	20.61% ( 0.33)	20.23% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 60.28% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.41% (

-1.51)

36.59% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.26% (

-1.66)

58.74% (

1.67)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0.58)

12.13% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

-1.24)

37.72% (

1.24)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-0.82)

31.39% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

-0.96)

67.76% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 59.16%

Hoffenheim 20.23%

Draw 20.61%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.23% Total : 59.16%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.23%