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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
St Pauli

Kane (17'), Sane (53', 71')
Guerreiro (13'), Olise (45+3'), Palhinha (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saad (27'), Ritzka (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, March 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 1-1 St Pauli

Bayern could encounter more difficulties in defence considering the injuries to their backline, and they may concede first on Saturday. It would be surprising if St Pauli managed to score more than once given their subpar performances in front of goal recently, but they will take confidence from their excellent performance last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSt Pauli
78.9% (0.34099999999999 0.34) 12.86% (-0.077 -0.08) 8.24% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 55.31% (-1.111 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)26.8% (0.66 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)47.24% (0.841 0.84)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)5.35% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.97% (-0.224 -0.22)21.03% (0.216 0.22)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-1.128 -1.13)41.56% (1.119 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-1.006 -1.01)78.05% (0.997 1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.9%
    St Pauli 8.24%
    Draw 12.86%
Bayern MunichDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.299 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.3% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 8.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.81% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.99% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 78.9%
1-1 @ 5.72% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 12.86%
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: Bayern vs St Pauli

Bayern Munich
Draw
St Pauli
Bayern Munich
83.8%
Draw
11.8%
St Pauli
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
St Pauli
0-1
Bayern

Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (65'), Saliakas (66')
Musiala (22')
Min-jae (66'), Laimer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30226287295872
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301810264352964
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30157858421652
4RB Leipzig301310748381049
5Freiburg30146104347-448
6Mainz 05Mainz30138948361247
7Borussia DortmundDortmund301361157471045
8Werder Bremen30136114854-645
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30135124846244
10Augsburg30111093340-743
11Stuttgart30118115650641
12Wolfsburg30109115347639
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14St Pauli3086162636-1030
15Hoffenheim3079143855-1730
16Heidenheim3064203260-2822
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320
18Holstein Kiel3047194171-3019


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