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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Koln logo

Borussia M'bach
5 - 2
FC Koln

Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')
Stindl (7'), Bensebaini (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')
Kainz (11'), Skhiri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 FC Koln

Looking at recent results between the sides, Koln head into the weekend as slight favourites to come away with the desired results. However, Monchengladbach have been near impenetrable on their home turf this season and we predict that they will squeeze out a narrow victory to end their losing streak against Baumgart's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
40.08% (0.243 0.24) 23.49% (-0.026 -0.03) 36.43% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (0.111 0.11)38.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (0.115 0.12)60.7% (-0.115 -0.12)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.16 0.16)19.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.257 0.26)51.45% (-0.256 -0.26)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.28% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)54.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.08%
    FC Koln 36.43%
    Draw 23.48%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.08%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs FC Koln

Borussia Monchengladbach
67.1%
Draw
15.8%
FC Koln
17.1%
76
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-3
FC Koln
Embolo (85')
Kone (45'), Plea (65'), Elvedi (86')
Modeste (5'), Kainz (20'), Ljubicic (34')
Hector (69'), Hubers (72')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')
Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
FC Koln
Neuhaus (16')
Stindl (2'), Herrmann (27'), Jantschke (75'), Neuhaus (90+5')
Rexhbecaj (3', 55')
Ehizibue (80'), Rexhbecaj (86')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Rexhbecaj (84')
Ehizibue (31'), Rexhbecaj (35'), Sorensen (90')
Plea (14'), Lainer (16'), Stindl (56' pen.)
Bensebaini (31'), Herrmann (82'), Lainer (90+2')
Mar 11, 2020 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
2-1
FC Koln
Embolo (32'), Mere (70' og.)
Thuram (88')
Uth (80')
Kainz (33'), Uth (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2RB Leipzig532082611
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
4Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
5Heidenheim530210739
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
11Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
12Werder Bremen412148-45
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim4103611-53
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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