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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Koln logo

Borussia M'bach
5 - 2
FC Koln

Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')
Stindl (7'), Bensebaini (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')
Kainz (11'), Skhiri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 FC Koln

Looking at recent results between the sides, Koln head into the weekend as slight favourites to come away with the desired results. However, Monchengladbach have been near impenetrable on their home turf this season and we predict that they will squeeze out a narrow victory to end their losing streak against Baumgart's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
40.08% (0.243 0.24) 23.49% (-0.026 -0.03) 36.43% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (0.111 0.11)38.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (0.115 0.12)60.7% (-0.115 -0.12)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.16 0.16)19.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.257 0.26)51.45% (-0.256 -0.26)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.28% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)54.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.08%
    FC Koln 36.43%
    Draw 23.48%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.08%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs FC Koln

Borussia Monchengladbach
67.1%
Draw
15.8%
FC Koln
17.1%
76
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-3
FC Koln
Embolo (85')
Kone (45'), Plea (65'), Elvedi (86')
Modeste (5'), Kainz (20'), Ljubicic (34')
Hector (69'), Hubers (72')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')
Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
FC Koln
Neuhaus (16')
Stindl (2'), Herrmann (27'), Jantschke (75'), Neuhaus (90+5')
Rexhbecaj (3', 55')
Ehizibue (80'), Rexhbecaj (86')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Rexhbecaj (84')
Ehizibue (31'), Rexhbecaj (35'), Sorensen (90')
Plea (14'), Lainer (16'), Stindl (56' pen.)
Bensebaini (31'), Herrmann (82'), Lainer (90+2')
Mar 11, 2020 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
2-1
FC Koln
Embolo (32'), Mere (70' og.)
Thuram (88')
Uth (80')
Kainz (33'), Uth (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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