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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
40.08% ( 0.24) | 23.49% ( -0.03) | 36.43% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 63.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% ( 0.11) | 38.41% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% ( 0.12) | 60.7% ( -0.12) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.16) | 19.54% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.26) | 51.45% ( -0.26) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -0.06) | 21.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0.09) | 54.21% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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