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UEFA Conference League
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Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
4 - 2
Slovacko

Adamyan (10'), Dietz (42'), Ljubicic (65' pen., 74')
Duda (2'), Martel (36'), Maina (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kalabiska (49'), Petrzela (52')
Travnik (55'), Svedik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and FC Slovacko, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, September 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Slovacko

Last Six:
    Last Game: Slovacko 3-3 Partizan
    Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: FC Koln 2-1 FC Slovacko

    Although Koln have failed to win any of their last three home games, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to beat an FC Slovacko side who are winless in their previous five matches. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for FC Slovacko had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Slovacko win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

    Result
    FC KolnDrawFC Slovacko
    45.54% (0.061 0.06) 23.84% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 30.61% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
    Both teams to score 60% (0.25 0.25)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    58.06% (0.33 0.33)41.94% (-0.331 -0.33)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.65% (0.33 0.33)64.34% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)
    FC Koln Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.34% (0.155 0.16)18.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.03% (0.261 0.26)49.96% (-0.264 -0.26)
    FC Slovacko Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    73.75% (0.166 0.17)26.24% (-0.167 -0.17)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    38.64% (0.22 0.22)61.35% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
    Score Analysis
        FC Koln 45.54%
        FC Slovacko 30.62%
        Draw 23.84%
    FC KolnDrawFC Slovacko
    2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
    2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
    3-1 @ 5.17% (0.026 0.03)
    3-0 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    3-2 @ 3.46% (0.034 0.03)
    4-1 @ 2.17% (0.022 0.02)
    4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
    Other @ 3.45%
    Total : 45.54%
    		1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
    2-2 @ 6.18% (0.029 0.03)
    0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
    3-3 @ 1.54% (0.023 0.02)
    Other @ 0.24%
    Total : 23.84%
    		1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
    0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 3.28% (0.015 0.02)
    2-3 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    1-4 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
    2-4 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
    Other @ 2.33%
    Total : 30.62%

    How you voted: FC Koln vs Slovacko

    FC Koln
    89.5%
    Draw
    10.5%
    FC Slovacko
    0.0%
    38
    rhs 2.0
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