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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Koln logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
FC Koln

Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln

Unlikely to be a high-scoring classic, given both sides' recent results in the Bundesliga, a close-fought draw could be on the cards. With their Conference League campaign kicking off next week amid the glamour of Nice, it may be that Koln take their eye off the ball and have to settle for a solitary point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
37.46% (1.402 1.4) 24.51% (-0.201 -0.2) 38.04% (-1.201 -1.2)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.831 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (1.034 1.03)43.33% (-1.033 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (1.007 1.01)65.72% (-1.008 -1.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (1.218 1.22)22.97% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (1.76 1.76)56.75% (-1.759 -1.76)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.149 -0.15)22.67% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)56.31% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 37.46%
    FC Koln 38.04%
    Draw 24.5%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.182 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs FC Koln

Wolfsburg
51.7%
Draw
34.5%
FC Koln
13.8%
29
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Wolfsburg
Cordoba (22', 45'), Hector (62')
Thielmann (66'), Hector (81'), Jakobs (86')
Steffen (66')
Brooks (19'), Schlager (25'), Weghorst (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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