Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 2Arminia Bielefeld
We said: Freiburg 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Though there remains a gulf between the clubs in terms of current league standing, it could be a close-fought affair upon their Bundesliga resumption this week. Arminia are, though, a side which struggles for inspiration in the final third, so Freiburg's greater pedigree up front should prove the decisive factor at the SC-Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 56.06% | 23.45% | 20.49% |
| Both teams to score 51.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
