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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.64% | 24.22% | 40.14% |
Both teams to score 60.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.9% | 42.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.49% | 64.5% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% | 23.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% | 57.34% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% | 21.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% | 53.92% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |